Analysis
· Premier League
Man City vs Liverpool: what the stats say ahead of the title decider
James Whitfield Mar 8, 2025
LIVE: Arsenal vs Chelsea | EPL
🏟 Emirates Stadium, London
Match Statistics
| Arsenal | Stat | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| 65% | Possession | 35% |
| 8 | Shots on Target | 5 |
| 18 | Total Shots | 11 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 9 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow Cards | 2 |
| 2 | Offsides | 3 |
| 91% | Pass Accuracy | 83% |
Match Events
- 23' Erling Haaland Assisted by De BruyneArsenal
- 45' Virgil van DijkChelsea
- 67' Mohamed Salah Long-range effortChelsea
- 78' Phil Foden →Bernardo SilvaArsenal
- 89' Jack Grealish Tap-in from close rangeArsenal
Starting Lineups
Arsenal 4-3-3
- 1 Ederson
- 2 Akanji
- 3 Dias
- 4 Gvardiol
- 5 Lewis
- 6 Rodri
- 7 De Bruyne
- 8 Silva
- 9 Doku
- 10 Haaland
- 11 Foden
Chelsea 4-3-3
- 1 Alisson
- 2 Alexander-Arnold
- 3 Matip
- 4 van Dijk
- 5 Robertson
- 6 Szoboszlai
- 7 Mac Allister
- 8 Jones
- 9 Salah
- 10 Núñez
- 11 Díaz
Head-to-Head History
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2024 | Liverpool | 2–1 | Man City |
| Apr 2024 | Man City | 0–1 | Liverpool |
| Nov 2023 | Liverpool | 1–1 | Man City |
| Apr 2023 | Man City | 4–1 | Liverpool |
| Oct 2022 | Liverpool | 1–0 | Man City |
In the last 5 meetings: Arsenal 2 wins · 1 draw · Chelsea 2 wins.
Match Preview
Arsenal host Chelsea in what promises to be one of the defining fixtures of the Premier League 2026 campaign. With both sides battling for supremacy at the top of the table, the outcome of this match could have significant implications for the title race.
Arsenal enter this fixture on a five-game winning run in all competitions, with Erling Haaland in the form of his life having netted 29 goals this season. Their home record this season is exceptional: 13 wins from 14 games at the Etihad Stadium.
Chelsea, meanwhile, have lost just twice in the league all season and will be buoyed by Mohamed Salah's incredible form –22 goals and 11 assists in 28 appearances. Arne Slot's side are compact defensively and deadly on the counter-attack, precisely the kind of side that has caused City problems in recent seasons.
Key battle to watch
The midfield duel between Rodri and Liverpool's Alexis Mac Allister is likely to be decisive. Whoever controls the tempo in the middle of the park will go a long way toward dictating the rhythm of this encounter.
Get AI predictions for every EPL match
Win probabilities, confidence scores, and full analysis –updated before kick-off.
Related Coverage
Arsenal vs Chelsea –FAQ
Where is Arsenal vs Chelsea being played?
This match is being played at Emirates Stadium, London. Arsenal are the home side.
What is the Arsenal vs Chelsea head-to-head record?
In the last five meetings, both sides have traded wins. See the head-to-head section on this page for the full results history.
What league is Arsenal vs Chelsea?
This is a Premier League fixture, Round 28, taking place on Saturday, March 8, 2025.
What is the AI prediction for Arsenal vs Chelsea?
Our model gives Arsenal a 53% probability of winning, with a 22% chance of a draw and 25% for a Chelsea victory. See the AI Prediction section for the full analysis.